Abstract
Remittances and other Financial Flows to Developing Countries
CDR Working Paper 02.11, August 2002
Peter Gammeltoft
Official estimates of migrants’ remittances are in the order of US$
100 billion annually, some 60 percent of which go to developing
countries. Any policy to make use of migrants as a development
resource will have to understand the size and allocation of
remittances and the roles played by migrants and their communities
in the remittance processes. This paper examines the flows of
remittances in relation to other financial flows to developing
countries. The examination is based on data available from official
statistics. As discussed in the paper, remittances by unofficial
channels are by all accounts significant, so the remittance amounts
reported here are quite conservative.
The paper shows that annual
remittances to developing countries have more than doubled between
1988 and 1999. Viewed over the last decade, remittances have been a
much larger source of income for developing countries than official
development assistance (ODA). And the gap is increasing, since ODA
has been falling while remittances have increased. Furthermore,
remittances appear to be a much more stable source of income than
private flows, both direct and portfolio, which tend to be more
volatile and flow into a limited set of countries.
Remittances to developing
countries go first and foremost to lower-middle income and
low-income countries. Lower middle-income countries receive the
largest amounts, but remittances constitute a much higher share of
total international flows to low-income countries. Among the ten
countries receiving most remittances, two are low-income (India and
Pakistan); six are lower middle-income (Philippines, Turkey, Egypt,
Morocco, Thailand and Jordan); and two are upper middle-income
(Mexico and Brazil).
Sub-Saharan Africa received
some 8 percent of remittances in 1980, but only some 4 percent in
1999. South Asia’s share also declined, but from 34 to 24 percent.
The ‘winners’ have been Eastern Europe and Central Asia, South and
Central America and the Caribbean that have increased their share of
global remittances.
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